EVM sensitivities – online only
|
Property & Casualty Reinsurance |
|
Life & Health Reinsurance |
|
Corporate Solutions |
|
Life Capital1 |
|
Swiss Re Group |
|||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
USD billions |
Change in 2019 EVM new business profit |
Change in economic net worth as of 31.12.2019 |
|
Change in 2019 EVM new business profit |
Change in economic net worth as of 31.12.2019 |
|
Change in 2019 EVM new business profit |
Change in economic net worth as of 31.12.2019 |
|
Change in 2019 EVM new business profit |
Change in economic net worth as of 31.12.2019 |
|
Change in 2019 EVM new business profit |
Change in economic net worth as of 31.12.2019 |
||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
Change in frictional capital costs: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
Increase by 100bps (from 4.5% to 5.5%) |
–0.1 |
–0.5 |
|
–0.1 |
–1.3 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
–0.3 |
–1.9 |
||||||||||||
Financial market shocks: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
25% decrease in equity values |
–0.9 |
–0.9 |
|
–0.1 |
–0.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
–0.4 |
–0.4 |
|
–2.0 |
–2.0 |
||||||||||||
25% decrease in property values |
–1.3 |
–1.3 |
|
–0.1 |
–0.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
–1.4 |
–1.4 |
||||||||||||
50bps increase in credit spreads |
n/a |
–0.3 |
|
n/a |
–1.0 |
|
n/a |
–0.1 |
|
n/a |
–0.1 |
|
n/a |
–1.5 |
||||||||||||
Change in reference rates (yield curve):2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
Increase by 50bps |
n/a |
0.1 |
|
n/a |
–0.2 |
|
n/a |
0.0 |
|
n/a |
0.0 |
|
n/a |
–0.1 |
||||||||||||
Decrease by 50bps |
n/a |
0.0 |
|
n/a |
0.1 |
|
n/a |
0.0 |
|
n/a |
0.0 |
|
n/a |
0.1 |
||||||||||||
Inclusion of a liquidity premium in the valuation of EVM net insurance liabilities: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
Set reference rates equal to government rates plus 10bps |
n/a |
0.2 |
|
n/a |
0.2 |
|
n/a |
0.0 |
|
n/a |
0.0 |
|
n/a |
0.5 |
||||||||||||
Set reference rates equal to government rates plus 50bps |
n/a |
1.2 |
|
n/a |
1.0 |
|
n/a |
0.1 |
|
n/a |
0.1 |
|
n/a |
2.4 |
||||||||||||
Set reference rates equal to government rates plus 100bps |
n/a |
2.3 |
|
n/a |
1.9 |
|
n/a |
0.2 |
|
n/a |
0.2 |
|
n/a |
4.6 |
||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
Reduce lapse rates by 10% (eg from 8.0% to 7.2%) |
n/a |
n/a |
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
|
n/a |
n/a |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
||||||||||||
Mortality and morbidity rates reduced by 5%:3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
Mortality |
n/a |
n/a |
|
0.2 |
3.9 |
|
n/a |
n/a |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
4.0 |
||||||||||||
Longevity |
n/a |
n/a |
|
–0.1 |
–0.5 |
|
n/a |
n/a |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
–0.1 |
–0.5 |
||||||||||||
Morbidity |
n/a |
n/a |
|
0.2 |
1.2 |
|
n/a |
n/a |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.2 |
1.2 |
||||||||||||
Remove all allowance for future mortality improvement:4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
Mortality |
n/a |
n/a |
|
–0.6 |
–10.3 |
|
n/a |
n/a |
|
0.0 |
–0.2 |
|
–0.6 |
–10.5 |
||||||||||||
Longevity |
n/a |
n/a |
|
0.4 |
1.3 |
|
n/a |
n/a |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.4 |
1.3 |
||||||||||||
Increase future mortality improvement assumption by 100bps p.a.:5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
Mortality |
n/a |
n/a |
|
0.6 |
9.8 |
|
n/a |
n/a |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
|
0.6 |
10.0 |
||||||||||||
Longevity |
n/a |
n/a |
|
–0.5 |
–1.4 |
|
n/a |
n/a |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
–0.5 |
–1.4 |
||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
Change in weighted average term to settlement: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
Increase by 10% |
0.1 |
0.4 |
|
n/a |
n/a |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
n/a |
n/a |
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
||||||||||||
Decrease by 10% |
–0.1 |
–0.4 |
|
n/a |
n/a |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
n/a |
n/a |
|
–0.1 |
–0.4 |
||||||||||||
Projected future claims cost: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
Increase new business claims by 10% |
–1.3 |
–1.3 |
|
n/a |
n/a |
|
–0.1 |
–0.1 |
|
n/a |
n/a |
|
–1.4 |
–1.4 |