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Annual Report 2015

Swiss Re’s risk landscape

The risk categories shown in the table below are discussed on the following pages. Across these categories we identify and evaluate emerging threats and opportunities through a systematic framework that includes the assessment of potential surprise factors that could affect known loss potentials. Liquidity risk management is discussed in Liquidity management.

Core modelled risks
Property and casualty
  • Costing and reserving
  • Inflation
  • Man-made risks
  • Natural catastrophes
Life and health
  • Lethal pandemic
  • Longevity
  • Mortality trend
Financial market and credit
  • Credit (default and migration)
  • Credit spread
  • Equity market
  • Foreign exchange
  • Interest rate
  • Real estate
  • FM inflation
Other significant risks
Operational
Liquidity
Strategic
Regulatory
Political
Sustainability
Emerging risks

Group capital requirement based on one-year 99% tail VaR

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USD billions, as of 31 December

2014

2015

Change in %

cross reference information

1

Credit comprises credit default and credit migration risk from both asset management and underwriting. Credit spread risk falls under financial market risk.

Property and casualty

9.1

9.4

4

see Insurance risk

Life and health

8.0

7.2

–10

see Insurance risk

Financial market

12.2

12.6

4

see Financial market and credit risk

Credit1

2.6

3.4

29

see Financial market and credit risk

Simple sum

31.9

32.7

2

 

Diversification effect

–12.9

–13.1

 

 

Swiss Re Group

19.1

19.6

3

 

Our internal risk model takes account of the accumulation and diversification between individual risks. The effect of diversification at the category level is demonstrated in the table above, which represents the difference between the Group 99% tail VaR and the sum of standalone tail VaR amounts in the individual risk categories. The extent of diversification is largely determined by the selected level of aggregation — the higher the aggregation level, the lower the diversification effect.